Global Oil Market Weekly Highlights

FEATURE OF THE WEEK
(1) Feature of the Week: Opportunity Crudes: Canada vs. Venezuela
US refiners face diverging supply realities: an immediate 300 K b/d Canadian production cut amid escalating trade tensions, versus a historic US-Venezuela deal (Aug. 27) granting 55% control of a 100-year concession over 65 B barrels of reserves.
August 29, 2026
FUTURES WEEKLY RECAPS
(2) Crude Oil Futures (Aug. 24-28, 2026) Slide on Softer US Sanctions, Diplomatic Progress, and Resilient Middle East Flows: WTI, Brent, and Murban
Crude oil futures experienced a volatile week, posting an overall decline as market concerns over US sanctions against Tehran eased and diplomatic efforts surrounding the Strait of Hormuz gained momentum.
August 29, 2026
FORECASTS
(3) Crude Oil Outlook in Upcoming Week: Market Relief Emerges as Geopolitical Risk Premiums Unwind
Crude oil futures experienced a turbulent week of trading, defined by competing geopolitical headlines and shifting physical supply dynamics.
August 29, 2026
REFINERY THROUGHPUTS
(4) US Refiners: The World's Supplier of Last Resort Under Historic Strain
US refineries have operated above 95% utilization for 11 consecutive weeks—a sustained level not seen in more than 25 years—as they scramble to fill a global fuel supply gap created by the Iran war and Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.
August 29, 2026
OPPORTUNITY CRUDES
(5) US-Canada Trade Tensions: The Oil Dilemma That Neither Side Can Afford to Ignite
The recent breakdown in US-Canada trade negotiations has triggered a 50% tariff on a wide range of Canadian goods, but Washington conspicuously excluded crude oil from these measures—a decision that exposes the deep interdependence between the two nations' energy systems.
August 29, 2026
OIL PRODUCTIONS NEWSFLASH
(6) Strategies Driving Latest Latin America’s Major Oil & Gas Developments
Latin America’s energy sector is being reshaped by large-scale upstream initiatives in conventional crudes spanning Mexico, Brazil, Guyana, and Venezuela, as surveyed in the latest news announcements.
August 29, 2026
OIL PRODUCTIONS NEWSFLASH
(7) Norway's Production Dip Exposes European Supply Vulnerability as Post-2030 Collapse Looms
Norway, Europe's largest oil and gas supplier, faces a dual challenge in mid-2026: a sharp but likely temporary output decline during summer maintenance, set against a structural warning that production could collapse after 2030 unless exploration and investment accelerate.
August 28, 2026
CRUDE TRADES
(8) Gulf Producers Unite Around Creative Routing and Discounts as Export Resumption Efforts Intensify
A sharp divergence has emerged between US government claims and private vessel-tracking data regarding the resumption of Middle East oil exports amid the ongoing Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption.
August 27, 2026
OIL PRODUCTIONS NEWSFLASH
(9) Africa's Upstream Surge and East African Energy Rivalry Reshape Continental Landscape
Africa has emerged as the epicenter of a global upstream acreage rush, capturing nearly half of all new country entries worldwide as operators rebuild exploration portfolios.
August 27, 2026
CRUDE TRADES
(10) China's Demand Peak and Asia's Supply Scramble Reshape Global Oil Order
China's oil demand has "very likely" peaked in 2025, according to Sinopec Chairman Hou Qijun—earlier than the company's previous 2027 forecast—as electrification and clean energy accelerate consumption decline.
August 27, 2026