Markets

Phillips 66’s CEO, Mark Lashier, has projected a significant global refining capacity shortage that could emerge as early as next year.

Morgan Stanley forecasts a substantial oil supply surplus in 2025, projecting that supply will outpace demand by 1.4MM b/d.

Despite robust demand data, recent forecasts reveal sharp contradictions in the global oil market.

Recent shifts in oil price forecasts reflect a complex interplay of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and fluctuating supply and demand dynamics.

A recent report by BofA Global Research highlights a potentially soft oil market due to increased non-OPEC+ production and decelerating demand growth.

Global oil demand is facing a bearish outlook due to several converging factors affecting key markets.

The US investment bank forecasts a $75/bbl floor for Brent crude prices, predicting that this threshold will hold despite recent economic uncertainties, including recession fears in the US.

The question of whether global oil demand will ever peak remains a contentious issue in the energy sector. Organizations such as OPEC and the IEA have been debating this for years, each presenting differing views on future fossil fuel consumption.

SLB and Halliburton are optimistic about the global E&P sector despite challenges in North America.

JP Morgan projects WTI crude prices could surge to $100/bbl due to diminished incentives for production growth.